ERSTE I CEE Macro Outlook, 11.03.2024

#dieWIRTSCHAFTSPRAXIS-VW.THINKTANK I STATUS.QUO Q1/2025
BANK AUSTRIA I Branchen-Überblick 032025
WIFO I Neue Zölle der USA belasten Exporte und Wirtschaft in Europa deutlich (04.04.2025)
638199_A_Users_Guide_to_Restructuring_the_Global_Trading_System.pdf
China Imposes 34% Tariffs on All US Imports as Retaliation (04.04.2025)
China retaliated against new US tariffs with levies on all American imports, delivering on a promise to strike back after President Donald Trump imposed duties and escalating a trade fight.
Fed's Powell Says Trump Tariff Impact Likely to Be Larger Than Expected (04.04.2025)
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the economic impact of new tariffs is likely to be significantly larger than expected, and the central bank must make sure that doesn’t lead to a growing inflation problem.
ECB Rate-Cut Bets Build as Growth Tops List of Tariff Worries (04.04.2025)
Expectations for European Central Bank interest-rate cuts are rising as investors and analysts assessing the fallout from Donald Trump’s tariffs conclude that the outcome for inflation will be more benign while growth will suffer.
US Payroll Growth Beats Forecasts, Unemployment Rate Ticks Up (04.04.2025)
US job growth beat forecasts in March and the unemployment rate edged up, pointing to a healthy labor market before the global economy gets hit by widespread tariffs.
Trump's Second Term Brings Worst Stock Market Start Since 2001 (03.04.2025)
The US stock market is down almost 10% since President Donald Trump’s inauguration, marking the worst 10-week start under a new president since George W. Bush in 2001 during the height of the dot-com selloff.
Trump Tariffs Wipe Out Nearly $2 Trillion From US Stock Market (03.04.2025)
Roughly $1.7 trillion was erased from the S&P 500 Index at the start of trading on Thursday amid worries that President Donald Trump’s sweeping new round of tariffs could plunge the economy into a recession.
US Services Index Falters as Employment Shrinks Most Since 2023 (03.04.2025)
US service providers expanded in March at the slowest pace in nine months as orders growth cooled and a measure of employment tumbled to the lowest since 2023.
Fed’s Jefferson Says Rates Well Positioned for Uncertainty (03.04.2025)
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said interest rates remain well positioned to handle competing risks despite a high degree of uncertainty in the economic outlook amid substantial changes to US policies on trade, immigration and regulation.
ECB's Nagel Says Trump Tariffs Will Put ECB Policy Progress to the Test (03.04.2025)
US President Donald Trump’s array of tariffs threatens the global economy and calls into question the European Central Bank’s achievements in fighting inflation, according to Governing Council member Joachim Nagel.
Stock Market Drop Erases $208 Billion From Bezos, Zuckerberg, Other Billionaires (03.04.2025)
The world’s 500 richest people saw their combined wealth plunge by $208 billion Thursday as broad tariffs announced by President Donald Trump sent global markets into a tailspin.
Wirtschaft: Leichte Entspannung in der Baubranche (04.04.2025)
Eine leichte Entspannung in der Baubranche zeigt das Ergebnis des aktuellen Bauwirtschaftsradars der Wirtschaftskammer. Von Aufschwung ist zwar noch keine Rede, man gibt sich aber schon damit zufrieden, keinen neuen Tiefpunkt erreicht zu haben.
Asien und Europa sind generell stärker von US-Zöllen betroffen I BLOOMBERG I 03.04.2025
The unpredictability of Trump’s tariffs will increase the pain
Businesses are struggling to adjust
United States, effective tariff rate, % I THE ECONOMIST I 03.04.2025
Can the world’s free-traders withstand Trump’s attack?
Much will depend on the courage of Europe
As Donald Trump’s trade war heats up, China is surprisingly confident
Should it be?
Trump takes America’s trade policies back to the 19th century
The president jacks up tariffs on all countries, with particularly sharp rises for much of Asia
EU Vows to Respond With Countermeasures to Trump’s 20% Tariffs (03.04.2025)
The European Union, the US’s largest trading partner, vowed to retaliate after President Donald Trump announced sweeping tariffs against the bloc in his bid to dismantle the global trading system.
US Tariffs Seen as Far Worse Shock to China Than First Trade War (03.04.2025)
Donald Trump’s latest tariff hikes threaten to inflict a bigger hit on China’s economy than it suffered during his first trade war.
Budgetgipfel: Bund, Länder, Gemeinden zeigen Einhelligkeit (02.04.2025)
Spitzenvertreter von Bund, Ländern und Gemeinden haben am Mittwoch im Bundeskanzleramt ein Gipfelgespräch abgehalten, um über die Sanierung des aus dem Ruder gelaufenen Budgets zu beraten. Nach dem Termin äußerte man sich einhellig: Bundeskanzler Christian Stocker (ÖVP) sprach nach dem Treffen von einem Stufenplan, um auch langfristig den Staatshaushalt in den Griff zu bekommen. Erstes Ziel sei es, das Defizit auf drei Prozent und damit das Maastricht-Ziel zu drücken.
US JOLTS February 2025: Job Openings Decline by More Than Forecast (01.04.2025)
US job openings fell in February while layoffs remained subdued, adding to evidence of a labor market that’s only gradually cooling.
China startet große Militärübung rund um Taiwan (01.04.2025)
Das chinesische Militär will es als »ernste Warnung« an Taiwan verstanden wissen: Streitkräfte nähern sich der Insel für eine Übung aus der Luft und vom Wasser. Taiwan hat bereits reagiert.
ECB’s Schnabel Revives Joint-Debt Debate to Bolster Euro’s Role (02.04.2025)
European Central Bank Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel said it’s time to talk about joint debt again in the euro area as policymakers see an opportunity to bolster the currency’s role in the global economy.
China Restricts Companies From Investing in US as Tensions Rise (02.04.2025)
China has taken steps to restrict local companies from investing in the US, according to people familiar with the matter, in a move that could give Beijing more leverage for potential trade negotiations with the Trump administration.
Fed’s Barkin Says Tariffs Could Reduce Jobs and Raise Inflation (01.04.2025)
Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Tom Barkin said President Donald Trump’s tariffs could raise both inflation and unemployment, creating a big challenge for the central bank.
Schnellschätzung: Teuerung im März bei 2,9 Prozent (01.04.2025)